11.17.2013

Nov. 18 BIZZ A-R-T-I-C-L-E ALPHALAND Corp.

Ongpin eyes partner from Abu Dhabi

"The market is abuzz with speculation that Sheik Surroor Bin Mohammed Al Nahyan, developer of the luxurious Etihad Towers and Abu Dhabi Trade Center, may buy out the stake of Ashmore Group Plc. in Alphaland following reports of strained ties between Ongpin and the UK-based investment fund."




Alphaland flights, swamped
With the transport aircraft of the Air Force and private airlines fully deployed for relief operations, some people quickly turned to Alphaland Corp. for help in transporting relief goods to areas outside of the Tacloban disaster zone.
Alphaland, of course, has a fleet of four aircraft—two mid-sized BAe Jetstream turboprops and two Cessna Grand Caravans—that normally ferry the rich and famous to and from its Balesin Island resort.
The company owned by Roberto Ongpin have since deployed all four planes to its relief operations concentrating on Guiuan in Samar, Ormoc in Leyte, Coron and Busuanga in Palawan, and Roxas City in Capiz. Additional flights are also slated for Aklan.
Alphaland has also deployed a barge to ferry relief goods to Tacloban and Busuanga.
The generosity of its private donors is quickly becoming something of a logistical nightmare for the property developer, however.
Despite having flown and shipped more than 25 metric tons of relief goods to Visayas, drinking water, rice, canned goods, noodles and other goods are starting to pile up at the company’s hangar.
To date, we hear there are at least 100 tons of relief goods waiting to be flown out on planes that can carry only an average of one ton per flight.—Daxim L. Lucas


11.15.2013

Nov.16- SPC Corp. 3Q Financial Report

1.496 B                                                 -Out.shares
7.2 B                                                     -MarCap
 

4.85 billion pesos                                    -Equity attributable to parent company
1.569 billion pesos                                   -Capital stock
2.53 billion pesos                                     -Retained earnings


5.80 billion pesos                                    -Total Asset
773 million pesos                                    -Cash and cash equivalent
632 million pesos                                    -Total Liabilities

Revenue: 9M Operation
1.60 billion pesos                                   -2013
1.75 billion pesos                                   -2012
% change:  -9.3%

Net Income 9M:
747 million pesos                                    -2013

987 million pesos                                    -2012

% change:  -32%

Note: better number on 3rd Q 2013 with 404M net income compared to last year 3Q of 217M. 9M net income, however, is lesser than previous year.

Annualized net income: 996M

closing price 15-11-2013:  4.80 pesos
ANNUALIZED EPS:  0.67
PE: 7.16               

BV per share: 3.24 pesos
Price to book value: 1.48x

Other notes:

Return on Equity: 20.5 %
Return on Assets: 17 %
Net income margin: 47% 

Current ratio: 4.96
Debt-to-equity: 0.13

Expensive Multiple as per Benjamin Graham is 22.5 (PE x P/BV)

BV=3.24
P=4.80
P/BV= 1.48
PE= 7.16
BGM= 10.61



Happy Investing!

Nov.16-Alphaland Corp. 9M financials

1.98B                                                     -Out.shares
82B                                                       -MarCap
 
41.46 billion pesos                                   -Equity to parent company
1.838 billion pesos                                   -Capital stock
10.6 billion pesos                                     -Retained earnings

60 billion pesos                                       -Total Asset
324 million pesos                                    -Cash and cash equivalent
18.6
billion pesos                                    -Total Liabilities

Revenue: 9M Operation
530 million pesos                                   -2013
323
million pesos                                   -2012
% change:  64%

Net Income 9M:
2.75 billion pesos                                   -2013

1.88 billion pesos                                   -2012

% change:  46%

Annualized income: 3.67B


closing price 15-11-2013:  42 pesos
ANNUALIZED EPS:  1.85
PE: 22.70                

BV per share: 21.0 pesos
Price to book value: 2x

Other notes:

Return on Equity: 8.80 %
Return on Assets: 6.10 %
Net income margin: 418%

Current ratio: 1.30
Debt-to-equity: 0.45

Expensive Multiple as per Benjamin Graham is 22.5 (PE x P/BV)

BV=21
P=42
P/BV= 2
PE= 22.70

BGM= 45.4

Nov.15- ALCO chart and analysis

Stock: ALCO
Date:15 Nov

Open-0.20
Low-0.20
High- 0.215
Close-0.210
Change: 1.94% 

Technicals:
-a spike in the trading activity today resulted to a volume above 10ema. 
-psyc resistance 0.21,0.22,0.23
-notice the MACD histogram rising
-price is above 200,60,30 sma

Actions:
to know what all the fuss is about

Trailing stops:
N/A

other info:
market price at 0.21 is below book value which is 0.27

you may want to check the 9 month financials of ALCO:
ALCO previous blog entry Nov.8


Nov.15- ATNB chart and analysis

Stock: ATNB

Date: 15 Nov

Technicals:
-prices in the last 3 trading sessions are above 200sma. It has been almost 3 years that atnb traded below 200sma. 
-psyc resistance 1.30,1.50,1.70
-above 1.30 is breakout
-MACD is positive

Actions:
add above 1.30

Trailing stops:
N/A

other info:
market price at 1.26 is below book value which is 3.0

Reminder:
patience is highly needed

11.13.2013

Nov.13- SHNG 3Q 2013 Shang Properties Inc.

SHNG 3Q 2013 


4,764,056,287               -Out.shares 
14,435,090,549              -MarCap
 

24.138 billion pesos        -Equity attributable to parent company
15.563 billion pesos        -Retained earnings

38.175  billion pesos       -Assets
7.703 billion pesos          -Total current asset
3.635 billion pesos          -Total current liabilities
1.913 billion pesos          -Cash and cash equivalent

14.03 billion pesos          -Liabilities

Revenue: 9M
4.706 billion pesos           -2013
3.699 billion pesos           -2012
% change:  27%

Net Income 9M:
1.432 billion pesos            -2013
1.029 billion pesos            -2012
% change: 39%

Annualized income: 1.909 B

closing price 13-11-2013: 3.29 pesos
ANNUALIZED EPS :  40 centavos
P/E : 8.2x

B/V per share: 5.07 pesos
Price to book value: 0.65x
Note: Market price is below Book value

Return on Equity: 8 %
Return on Assets: 5 %
Net income margin: 30%

Current ratio: 2.12
Debt-to-equity: 0.58


source: SHNG 3Q Financial Report

Happy Investing

11.08.2013

Nov.8- Arthaland Corp. ALCO 3Q 2013

ALCO 3Q 2013

5,318,095,199                                        -Out.shares
1,084,891,420                                        -MarCap
 

1.4 billion pesos                                     
-Equity 
850.7 million pesos                                 -Capital stock
543 million pesos                                   -Retained earnings


4.42 billion pesos                                   -Total Asset
521.148 million pesos                             -Cash and cash equivalent
2.97 billion pesos                                   -Liabilities

Revenue: Operation
1.917 billion pesos                                  -2013
979 million pesos                                    -2012
% change:  96%

Net Income 3Q:
169.7 million pesos                                 -2013
64.6 million pesos                                   -2012
% change: 162 %

Annualized income: 226M

closing price 08-11-2013:  0.206 pesos
ANNUALIZED EPS:  0.042 centavos
PE: 4.90                

BV per share: 0.27 pesos
*current price is below book value (bargain)

Price to book value: 0.76x

Other notes:

Return on Equity: 15 %
Return on Assets: 5 %
Net income margin: 8.8%

Current ratio: 1.48
Debt-to-equity: 2.05



Expensive Multiple as per Benjamin Graham is 22.5 (PE x P/BV)

BV=0.27
P=0.206
P/BV= 0.76
PE= 4.90
BGM= 3.74

source: ALCO 3Q Financial Report

10.18.2013

Oct. 18- ANS (A. Soriano Corp)

Stock: ANS

Date: 18 Oct


Open-7.04
Low-7.04
High- 7.08
Close-7.08
Change: 1.14%

Technicals:
-trading above pysc support of 7.0 (next 6.80, 6.60)
-trading above all SMA 30,60,200
-psyc resistance 7.12, 7.30
-above 7.30 (52nd week high) is breakout
-still with low volume
-STS at overbought level

Actions:
-add more above 7.30
-monitor sts

Trailing stops:
-6.70

New info:
Dividend 

YEARSTOCKCASHSPLITSRIGHTSEX-DATERECORDPAYABLE
2013-0.25--28-Oct-201331-Oct-201327-Nov-2013

Div yield at 6.50 is 3.80%

10.07.2013

Oct. 7- Lepanto Mining (LC) technical and current news

Stock: LC

Date: 07 Oct

Open-0.43
Low-0.43
High- 0.455
Close-0.44
Change: 2.33% 

Technicals: 
-support at 0.40 

-trading below 200,60,30 SMA (that goes for most of the mining stocks) see PX and MA...only BC/b seems to be comfortably hibernating on 30 & 60 SMA but still way below 200. 
-psyc resistances 0.45, 0.50
-Buy signals on MACD and STS
-volume still below 100M

Actions:
-add more above 0.47

Cutloss level:

-see price action
Trailing stops:
-N/A

New info:

a genuine rally on LC may be seen once favorable sentiment on mining will come back and that is primarily attributable once the Mining revenue scheme will be defined and of course be in favor to the Mining business.

Mining revenue scheme up for Palace approval
Positioning in LC is merely in anticipation of this turn around sentiment

local news:
Benguet govt reviews huge mining project proposal

10.06.2013

Oct. 6- Marcventures Holdings Inc. (MARC)

Stock: marc

Date: 04 Oct

Open-1.89
Low-1.87
High- 1.96
Close-1.94
Change: 4.30

Technicals: 
-support at 1.90, 1.85 (30SMA), 1.80 (coinciding SMA 200 and 60)
-psyc resistance 1.96, 2.0, 2.20

(refer to chart)
1. volume above 10 days avg
2. Macd changing direction
3. sts 50 with buy signal
Actions:
-add more above 2.0 
-continue to monitor

Trailing stops:
-N/A

New info:
-NIL

see previous entries:
MARC Sept.11 2013
MARC Aug.15 2013

9.30.2013

Sept. 30- ARA technical

Stock: ARA

Date: 30 Sept


Open-1.50
Low-1.42
High- 1.50
Close-1.42
Change: -6.58% 

Technicals:
-closed below 1.50 (below all SMA 30,60,200) 
-psyc resistance 1.55, 1.60, 1.70
-above 1.64 is breakout


Actions:
-added more shares 
-General Trend is still my main key why I am positioning in ARA 

Trailing stops:
-1.40 (adjusted from 1.45) due to over all market sentiment 

New info:
-GTC sell taken out
-added more shares on top of my intended allocation.

price may seem to touch 1.40 level or seek a lower bottom. how deep? I have no idea. Nonetheless, will monitor closely and ready to sell all should selling pressure continues.

9.17.2013

Sept. 17 a JCO donut play


I received a call from one of my clients this morning- this was before I was ready to monitor the market. 
He wants to add his shares on a particular stock; doubling his position on this stock now. The common question he always ask is, if it is a good buy today, hehe..
It has been a good buy to me since last year but the sentiment is still off from this sector. It is only now I am aggressively buying the stock per tranches. Well, nonetheless I have persuaded him to position anyway. I have also a position on this stock. Good luck to us. 

Another story I have today was with TSI. I felt like I just avoided a 40% sell down from TSI when I looked at it later in the afternoon. I saw it when it went to ceiling in the morning and just decided to avoid instead. But back from an errand later in the afternoon, I saw the price touched 11.50 and that was the time I decided to buy a miniscule position near the close for a volatility play tomorrow. I call this buy, for JCO donut play :-)
I don't know anything of TSI...All I am sure about it is the volatility tomorrow. 

I am already out of BHI. I see that there are many issues to play with than sitting inside the BHIlibid. 

Good night

Sept. 17- Araneta Properties, Inc. (ARA) tech analysis

Stock: ara

Date: 17 Sept

Open-1.50
Low-1.49
High- 1.55
Close-1.55
Change: 3.3% 

Technicals:
-support at 1.50 (coinciding SMA 30 and Fibo 50%)
-psyc resistance 1.55, 1.60, 1.70
-above 1.64 is breakout
-MACD changing to Up direction


Actions:
-I will take out my GTC sell once convincing breakout is evident above 1.64 
-added more shares at the lows
-General Trend is still my main key why I am trading ARA 

Trailing stops:
-1.45 (adjusted from 1.40)

New info:
-Volume above 10 days EMA
-back to 2/3 of my original pos'n
-No MACD and STS signal yet

Previous ARA tech analysis:
ARA 16 Sept

9.13.2013

Sept.13 BIZZ A-R-T-I-C-L-E

"value investing is an ideal strategy and one you should look at more closely. Through it, you will be able to see if potentials are too small for institutional investors to chase, so you and a few other investors may be the only ones following these stocks—hence, more chance of a profit. By finding such a stock, you are getting in at the ground floor of an upward move, an advantage that adds to your upside."

"value investing works because investors build up their skill in stock selection picking under-priced shares. They do not risk much of their money on any stock in particular, and they know what they are buying and why. This puts the value investor in a small, smart and diligent group of people buying and selling shares, and this select nature is a large part of why it is a successful way to make money from the stock market. "

Article link:
Criteria in selecting a stock

Sept. 13- Quote to ponder (from a movie)

A quote from the movie "Other People's Money", starring Danny DeVito and the seductive Actress Penelope Ann Miller 

--Larry (Danny) is a successful corporate raider who has become rich buying up companies and selling off their assets.
A corporate raider threatens a hostile take-over of a "mom and pop" company. The patriarch of the company enlists the help of his wife's daughter, who is a lawyer, to try and protect the company. The raider is enamoured of her, and enjoys the thrust and parry of legal maneuvering as he tries to win her heart


"They can pass all the laws they want. All they can do is change the rules. They can never stop the game. I don't go away, I adapt."


to simply say...
If the wind changes, I adjust my sails and maintain the course.

Happy Weekend!

9.11.2013

Sept. 11- WEB and Bhi

I was torn between buying back WEB and entering the notorious BHI

WEB is showing me very good technical criteria for buying:
-MACD histogram in up direction with buy signal activated
-STS at 33.5 just above the oversold level and is in up direction
-few common brokers sighted buying it up
-making 11.00 level the bottom for this run up
just made a genius move----I did not buy

meanwhile...
BHI

the last time it went on rally was 5 months ago. It was obvious that participants were fond of fibo retracement. As you can see in the chart it retraced at 50% then from there went up as high as 0.20

as I have described it, bhi is notorious of pulling the price. From 0.20 it came down to as low as .109 (83% loss)

Now, bhi just started the same rally and is now making its first retracement. I may have miscalculated it at 61.8% (0.134) but nonetheless I should position some buying on 76.4% (0.127)

I may be wrong on 0.127 otherwise bhi may change its sentiment to prove right my previous retracement estimate at 61.8% which is actually already broken. 0.127 looks deep and I have 0.12 cut loss level.


Sept.11- marc technical

Stock: marc
Date: 11 Sept

Open-1.83
Low-1.88
High- 1.84
Close-1.87
Change: 2.75% 

Technicals:
-above 200SMA after a year 
-psyc support 1.80,1.70
-above 2.0 is breakout

-immediate resistance is 1.90

Update: technical
-STS at 58
-MACD now with buy signal

New info: click below Disclosure

MARC operation Update

see previous blog entry
click here --->Marc Aug.15

9.06.2013

Sept. 7- PRIM (chart and news)

Refer to chart and links and make a speculation on how RYM Business Management (the new majority shareholder of PRIM) will utilize PRIM?


1. speculation that TV-5 would be folded into PRIM
TV-5 of MVP to PRIM

2. extension of 50-year corporate life
Disclosure on 50yr extension

..After Neo defaulted to RYM Business mngt


3. what's the next story???
Date: Sept. 7, 2013
Price: 1.30

Company Description:
At present, PRIM is still in the process of cleaning up its balance sheet to pave the way for the entry of a new investor who will be willing to inject fresh capital into the Company.

Other news:
http://www.philstar.com/business/2013/07/09/963131/prime-media-placed-under-new-mgmt
http://illmixtapes.com/crispyhiphop.php?url=www.interaksyon.com/article/66167/cocktales--romualdez-acquires-metro-pacific-shell-for-backdoor-listing




8.30.2013

Aug. 30- Philweb Corp. (WEB)

Stock:web
Date:30 Aug

Open-12.0
Low-11.40 
High- 12.34
Close-11.40
Change: -5%

Trade executed 28Aug:
bot at 10.0 resulted to lower aep now at 11.00

Trade executed 29Aug: 
sold at 12.40 (sold only trading pos'n which I bot at 10.0)
Gained 24%

Remaining now with core position (bot at 12.0)


Technicals:
-support 200SMA, 14.0 level already broken...
-psyc rebound target til 13.0 (still on)
-resistance level coincides with 50% fibo or 12.0
-No buy signal on MACD yet
-STS entering trading range. Buy signal activated


Actions:
-50% allocation taken out with 24% gained. stby for watering
-watching above 13.50

Biz Buzz news column:
PhilWeb is considering to auction off the 22-percent 
ePLDT block, thereby unlocking more values out of these shares


Trailing stops: no more cut loss level since gain has been realized and further preservation is a must
11.0 

New info:
new lower support evident at 10.0. Be still confident at 11.0
Company Buy back program activated ---> click here

see previous entry on web (23Aug2013)
Click here