4.30.2013

April 30- stock monitoring


SHNG

This should be too early for me to call that SHNG will be out of my active monitoring since it had already pass way above my suggested support level of 3.70. 
Twice it became a resistance before it was breached last 29/04 when it reached an intraday high of 3.94 and closed at 3.84..the following day it held strongly on the same closing price.. Checking on fibo retracement 3.70 falls on 50% which is good to go for me as a strong bounce should price retrace. 

Should 3.70 is incase tested and held consider shng to be out of my active monitoring.

SPC

There is good numbers and promising outlook for spc in the next half of this year. Coming June is also for the expectation of dividends but this is normal. I am positive for spc to acquire Naga plant which is scheduled for bidding in the second half of the year- according to PSALM

While the annual report was released just this week consequently the trading of spc became relatively active (above 10EMA) 

There is an ATR KIM selling intermittenly. I can only conclude that his selling is not to scare out potential buyers but rather to test whether there is a buying pressure or not. However, buying pressure being not evident for the moment, the strong support at 5.0 proves that there are others who understand spc is not normal to go below 5.0/share considering the good news coming soon. That should convince ATR KIM later on that the news through financial statement was absorbed positively by these buyers ready to hoard and protect price above 5.0/share. Only awaiting for one party to lead the buy up.

EPS:   0.67
Price: 5.0
PE:    7.46X


Happy Investing

4.16.2013

April. 16- Nickel Charts


Current price sitting on the 61.8% level. Third time to have visited this level since mid 2009. 
















Trading range $8.4- $7.2 per pounds

4.15.2013

Apr.15 SHNG 2012


SHNG 2012

Out.shares                 4,764,056,287

MarCap                      17,055,321,507.46 


Equity attributable to parent company: 20.248 billion pesos
Capital: 4.764 billion pesos
Add-in capital: 834 million pesos
Retained earnings: 14.655 billion pesos  

Assets: 35.968 billion pesos
Total current asset: 7.0 billion pesos
Cash and cash equivalent: 1.601 billion pesos
Liabilities: 12.790 billion pesos


Revenue 2012: 4.600 billion pesos
Revenue 2011: 2.477 billion pesos
% change: 85.7 %

Net Income Attributable to Parent Company: 
2012: 1.646 billion pesos
2011: 1.057 billion pesos
% change: 55.7%

closing price 15-04-2013: 3.40 pesos
EPS : 0.35 centavos
P/E : 9.7x

B/V per share: 4.25 pesos
Price to book value: 0.80x
Note: Market is price is below Book value

Comparative avg. PE with other companies at 14
TP- 14 X 0.35 = 4.90


Current price to TP: 44% upside

Upcoming developments for Shang Properties include One Shangri-La Place, which enjoyed brisk sales of over 250 units during its one-day exclusive preview last March 10, and the construction of a 6-level Shangri-La Plaza mall expansion.

Construction ongoing for twin towers and next year 2014 completion of the construction.. 
Target turn over date remains 2015.


Dividend History:

YEAR
STOCK
CASH
SPLITS
RIGHTS
EX-DATE
RECORD
PAYABLE
2013
-
0.060
-
-
12-Mar-2013
15-Mar-2013
25-Mar-2013
2012
-
0.040
-
-
12-Sep-2012
17-Sep-2012
30-Sep-2012
50% up in dividends from previous


Other notes:


Return on Equity:       8.1 %
Return on Assets:      4.6%
Net income margin:    36% 

Current ratio:           2.81 

Debt
-to-equity:         0.63   

4.11.2013

Apr.10- atnb monitoring



Stock: ATNB
Date: April 10

Current price: 1.42 H-1.42, L-1.38
Support:1.30, 1.20
Remarks: 3 consecutive days sitting on 23.6% (1.40) 

Resistance: 1.70  next at 2.0 

Adding: fuel up when 1.60 is breached 
Selling: see price action..maybe just before hitting 2.0. while core intact

Notes: (Technicals)

  • Reached intra day ceiling price of 1.57 on April 4 but settled at 1.45(38.1%) in the closing.
  • Thereafter, closing prices for three consecutive days fall on 23.6% fibo which I can surmise participants respecting fibo dynamics. Next resistance at 1.70, 2.0 (50%)
  • I am buying anything below 1.40. shallow pullback with negligible selling volume. After all, this is getting now the attention of the traders.
  • Could trade sideways when it enters 1.70-2.0
  • Optimistic view: when it makes a support on or above 50%, consequently breaking through 200 SMA, should give a promising perception of good to hold to at least BV.
  • Book value 3.05
Attention: shares very light. We may however not discount the possibility of another ceiling to 2.10 when the ceiling price can already utilize 200SMA and 50% as its next support...opkors this is a psychological statement =)


Good day!

4.05.2013

Apr.5- stop and step back. Invest in Knowledge first!


While many might think that stock market is the chance of a lifetime to get big, but the chances also of losing is the same- if you really do not know what you are doing. 

Stop! take a step back and listen. 

It is recommended to know what one has to do before doing something. Invest in learning first before plunging into the real scenario. 

You would not also want to be like what I ended up to like this trade I had in 2011 (screened shot for sentimental purpose) Here's one of my stupid trades I got into! 

...those times when I did not have yet the cutloss discipline..




There is a huge opportunity in the market and it favors to those who are well prepared. Are you prepared to win or to lose? 

Either way you can become one and it depends on which side you are prepared on. 

Devise a system of trading/ investing that fits your lifestyle, resources and will achieve your investment target.A stroke by another folk may not fit for you. 

Improve your knowledge so you can get whispers from it anytime for your decision making without having to pay for a fee, hehe.  Therefore do your due diligence to understand how it works, and through investing first in knowledge is the key to preparedness. 

No intention to scare, dishearten, nor to brag of this loss in the past. This is to help you peep into the reality and clear the mind of fantasy brought about by the notion of "stock" market. Good luck

4.04.2013

April 4- what a start!

A month long vacation is over... arrived in Istanbul on Tues. The weather was fine and everything was so welcoming.

I have cleaned my table, chair, and even dust off my keyboards.. I'm back :-)

One trade done in the afternoon:

sold 10% of my position at the ceiling.. 

enjoyed the price action but selling my position is way too far from my target price..current price is only half of the interim book value. 

selling a few to check if indeed there are buyers..and there are even at the ceiling! 
90% on hold


to be continued...