8.30.2013

Aug. 30- Philweb Corp. (WEB)

Stock:web
Date:30 Aug

Open-12.0
Low-11.40 
High- 12.34
Close-11.40
Change: -5%

Trade executed 28Aug:
bot at 10.0 resulted to lower aep now at 11.00

Trade executed 29Aug: 
sold at 12.40 (sold only trading pos'n which I bot at 10.0)
Gained 24%

Remaining now with core position (bot at 12.0)


Technicals:
-support 200SMA, 14.0 level already broken...
-psyc rebound target til 13.0 (still on)
-resistance level coincides with 50% fibo or 12.0
-No buy signal on MACD yet
-STS entering trading range. Buy signal activated


Actions:
-50% allocation taken out with 24% gained. stby for watering
-watching above 13.50

Biz Buzz news column:
PhilWeb is considering to auction off the 22-percent 
ePLDT block, thereby unlocking more values out of these shares


Trailing stops: no more cut loss level since gain has been realized and further preservation is a must
11.0 

New info:
new lower support evident at 10.0. Be still confident at 11.0
Company Buy back program activated ---> click here

see previous entry on web (23Aug2013)
Click here

8.24.2013

Aug.25- Venice weather Forecast

I woke up here in Trieste, Italy with a gloomy sky and shower on location. Now, I wonder what the forecast would be in Venice for my travel tomorrow.

Weather Forecast (Venice) Aug.26
Wind: Calm
Sky: Sunny
Temp: 23 deg.C

Looks good and welcoming! since I will travel by car let's check how far is the road distance:

Trieste --> Venice 1H 38m (158.9km)
Venice -->  Milan   2H 35m (269.4km)

Total Travel Time: 4H 13m

I hope the sun will come out tomorrow...and allow me to use my newly bought carrera sun glasses, hehe

In the meantime, I will have my trading picks monitored by someone else...

Happy trip!

8.23.2013

Aug.23- web (Philweb Corp) Technicals and biz buzz

Stock:web

Date:23 Aug

Open-13.0
Low-11.90 (52nd wk LOW)
High- 13.0
Close-12.0
Change: -20% (since 200SMA broken) 

Technicals:
-support 200SMA, 14.0 level already broken...
-resting on the long time support at 12.0
-psyc rebound target til 13.0
-watching above 13.50
-MACD on down direction
-STS 10.98 oversold


Actions:
-50% allocation bot at intraday low, stby with 50% to "water the plant" =)
how to "water a plant?"---->  Click here

-watch price action from 13.0-13.50
-monitor update on recent disclosure: click link below

Biz Buzz news column
PhilWeb is considering to auction off the 22-percent 
ePLDT block, thereby unlocking more values out of these shares


stop loss level:
11.0 

New info:
NIL

a disclosure followed by a sell down, with small shares (4Million) is interesting for me

8.16.2013

Aug.16- Araneta Properties Inc. (ara) technical

Stock:ara
Date:16 Aug

Open-1.50
Low-1.48
High- 1.67
Close-1.65
Change: 9.27% 

Technicals:
-support (30,60,200SMA)
-psyc resistance 1.6 (38.2% fibo)already broken
next at 1.80 (23.6%)
-above 1.40 is breakout
-MACD still on Up direction


Actions:
posting GTC sell price just below 1.80 (1/3 of my pos'n)
Trend is obvious but 1.80 should be the interim resistance and a pullback thereafter could be an opportunity to buy back the shares I sold today.

Trailing stops:
-1.40 (adjusted from 1.30)

New info:
-above 30day SMA
-2nd day volume
-lightened up 2/3 of my pos'n due to the ff:
-STS buy signal 79.57 (overbot at 80)
-3rd day up

If ara continue to go up, I will be excited for my 1/3 shares
If ara goes down, then my plan is right and my stop level will further protect my gains.

Either way, it is a win-win!

8.15.2013

Aug.16- trip to Venice

My itinerary for Venice trip (26Aug)

Route (approximately)

Exit the station. To your left the Scalzi bridge allows you to cross the Grand Canal to reach the other shore. But you go to the right where you will find the Constitution Bridge, designed by Santiago Calatrava, a bridge of steel, glass and Istrian stone with guard rails of steel and glass. Go back to the station. You can choose whether to take the vaporetto line 1 that will allow you to see all the buildings overlooking the Grand Canal with a run to 6.50 (get off at San Zaccaria and coming back) or walk to avoid the tour and enjoy the Venetian streets. Cross the bridge and go left to the church of St. Simon Small. After the church, turn left and go straight on Calle Santa Lucia ferry which becomes Calle Lacquer until you arrive at the School of S. Evangelist. Continue tenedovi on the right and you will arrive at the Campo dei Frari. From here continue to the Rialto Bridge. You'll have to keep on the left and get to the Campo San Polo Field Sant'Aponal and then go on to Campo San Silvestro. Walking along the canal you will come to the Rialto Bridge. Go up to the bridge and past this, towards San Marco. Once in the square, in front of you the Basilica, the Campanile, the Ducal Palace, and further, the Hard-Rock Café. Continue along the canal to see the Bridge of Straw. Climb up to see the Bridge of Sighs. Now, if you are tired, you can take the boat to return to the station. If not, go back to Rialto, cross the channel again with the bridge but this time changing itinerary. Keep to the right along the canal in order to photograph the Ca 'd'Oro. Go back towards the Frari and retrace the route up.


Available train schedule for Venice. ETA Trieste 18 Aug SUN


From
Time
Train
To
Time
Trieste Centrale
6:31
FB 9710
Venezia Mestre
8:15
Venezia Mestre
8:20
URB
Venezia Santa Lucia
8:30
Trieste Centrale
6:41
R 11304
Venezia Santa Lucia
9:02
Trieste Centrale
6:56
RV 2448
Venezia Santa Lucia
9:56
Trieste Centrale
7:04
IC 584
Venezia Mestre
8:55
Venezia Mestre
9:00
URB
Venezia Santa Lucia
9:10
From
Time
Train
To
Time
Venezia Santa Lucia
16:20
E 42
Milano Centrale
18:55
Venezia Santa Lucia
16:50
FB 9738
Milano Centrale
19:25
Venezia Santa Lucia
17:20
FB 9740
Milano Centrale
19:55

Aug.15- Marventures (MARC) FUN-TECH

Stock:marc
Date:15 Aug

Open-1.83
Low-1.80
High- 1.84
Close-1.84
Change: 1.66% 

Technicals:
-above 200SMA after a year 
-psyc support 1.80,1.70
-above 2.0 is breakout
-STS at overbot 87 
-MACD still going up

New info: Disclosure
1H MARC Earning Report


FUNDAMENTALS:

1,735,676,782                      -Out.shares 
3,141,574,975                      -MarCap 

2.481 billion pesos              -Equity attributable to parent company
1.735 billion pesos              -Capital stock
636.2 million pesos             -Retained earnings

650.306 million pesos          -Current Assets
781.46 million pesos           -Liabilities
3.263, billionpesos             -Total Asset

245million pesos                -Cash and cash equivalent 2013
13.1 million pesos              -cash and cash 2012
Change: 17x increase in 6 months

Revenue: 1H
361 million pesos               -2013
145.7 million pesos            -2012
% change:  147%

Net Income 1H: Operation
304.2 million pesos            -2013
112 million pesos               -2012
% change:  171%

Other Info:
Current price- 1.81 (14 Aug)
Annualized eps-  0.35
PE- 5.17
BV- 1.42
P/BV- 1.27
BGM- 6.56
6.56 has 242% margin to 22.5

Aug.15- ara technical

Stock:ara
Date:15 Aug

Open-1.38
Low-1.38
High- 1.56
Close-1.51
Change: 4.68% 

Technicals:
-200SMA support
-psyc resistance 1.6 (38.2% fibo),1.8,2.0
-above 1.40 is breakout
-STS buy signal 56.33

Actions:
-add more above 1.60 (adjusted from 1.40)

cutloss:
-1.30 (adjusted from 1.20)

New info:
-pierced 60SMA (staying above)
-MACD gave buy signal
-increasing volume



8.13.2013

Aug.14- ARA technical

Hi ARA,


Technicals:
-200SMA support
-psyc resistance 1.6,1.8,2.0
-above 1.40 is breakout
-STS buy signal
-current price 1.35 is at 50%fibo

Actions:
-add more above 1.40

cutloss:
-1.20 

Note: 
Enjoy trading



Aug.13- ALCO 1H Earning Report

Period-----------------2013------------2012-------------change

APR-JUN (3M)-----------10.08M------------ 7.23M--------------39%
JAN-JUN (1H)-----------115.4M-------------12.14M-------------853%
ANNUAL-----------------266M--------------- 230M (est)--------(-15%)

note: 

-4Q of 2012 is 75% of the total annual earnings for ALCO. I believe that the 2H will give better earnings than 1H. 

-so far ALCO declared 0.012/share dividends to shareholders with payable date 22 Aug. 1.20 cents constitute 25% of the 2012 eps. Therefore, i can surmise that with the continued strong sales, a 25% of dividends taken from its annual income could be sustainable. 

Other info:

-rest muna ako sa pax..hindi ko feel yung bluff na 1M posting in the last minute of trading..

In trading, a move that is suppose to create an impression is usually a bluff. 

the padding offers comfort to the holders; but I  buy just when I feel some fear...in pax, i feel irritably comfortable

Disclosure: click below

2Q Report- ALCO


8.05.2013

Aug. 5- pax

PAX

1,148,534,866                -Out.shares
2,354,496,475                -MarCap

4.291 billion pesos          -Equity attributable to parent company
1.071 billion pesos          -Capital stock
2.957 billion pesos          -Retained earnings

4.248 billion pesos          -Current Assets
4.376 billion pesos          -Total Asset
3.955 billion pesos          -Cash and cash equivalent
81.5 million pesos           -Liabilities


Negative                        -1Q earning

cash/out.shares= 3.44 pesos vs 2.00 (market price)
=72% discount
Market cap is less than cash equivalents

Technical:
-Resting in 61.8% fibo
-add more when 2.20 is breached...
-important price action on 2.80 level 
-sell all if 1.90 broken (52nd week low)